A Technique to Calculate Correlations between Software Projects in a Portfolio Selection Setting Based on the Modern Portfolio Theory
Keywords:
Software Project Portfolio Selection, Modern Portfolio Theory, Project Selection, Project CorrelationAbstract
Selecting software projects to build a portfolio is a risky task. The Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) has been proposed by many authors to support selecting the best group of projects that maximize the expected return x risk ratio of a portfolio. However, one major issue has to be resolved to allow the application of the theory when migrating its concepts to a project selection context, i.e, the way correlations between projects are calculated. We present a new technique to calculate them objectively, based on a risk scenario approach.
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